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Early warning system for student dropout risk using machine learning

Description of the service

Antivirus para la Deserción is a non-profit organization that seeks to reduce student attrition in Colombia, currently at 50%. It is one of the many ways we can contribute to achieving a more educated country and thus a more developed country. If we increase student graduation levels, we will efficiently leverage the installed infrastructure: it is like building the existing educational institutions without having to lay a brick.

Problem that it solves

Student dropout is one of the most complex problems for educational institutions, as it is not easy to understand its causes. In Colombia, half of the students do not finish their university studies, a figure that has been slowly improving but requires special efforts of the institutions.

Institutions usually offer programs to support students with academic, emotional, and economic needs. However, students either ask for help only when the problem has advanced or fail to do so out of embarrassment, ignorance, or excessive self-confidence, and thus reversing the situation is more difficult. Ideally, institutions should actively approach students and inquire about their needs to identify those who need support early.

Type of AI app used

Events detection (anomaly detection and early warning, Predictive systems (forecasting)

Main results to June 30, 2021

Warning system implemented in two university programs.

Program modeled for Universidad de Antioquia, one of the largest universities in Colombia.

Three main bottlenecks faced during implementation

  1. Data access
  2. Data quality
  3. Cultural resistance

Lessons learned in the design or use of AI for social impact

  1. Universities' historical data on students only include academic information. Institutions need to implement a data governance system as soon as possible to include socio-emotional information to strengthen drop-out predictive models.
  2. Designing Learning Analytics requires adopting a human-centered approach in the age of AI (AI systems and algorithms should be designed with the awareness that they are part of a system that involves humans as users, operators, students, teachers, and people close to them.)
  3. AI-based platforms for social impact need to be open-source and belong to society. Although private models have brought progress, only collective and open efforts will allow us to reach those in need.

Country of origin

Colombia

Geographic scope of operations

Cali, Medellín

Type of executing entity

Civil society organization

Sector/industry

Education

Sustainable Development Goal(s) to which your AI solution contributes

1 (no poverty)

4 (quality education)

8 (decent work and economic growth)

IA app developed internally or by a third party

Internally

Name of implementing entity

Antivirus para la Deserción

Stakeholders involved

RUAV, Colombian Ministry of ICT

Percentage of the development team that are women

40%

Year they started using AI-based models

2021
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